Lesson 1 EV on River 2017/07/18

PokerStars Zoom Hand #173184657346:  Hold'em No Limit ($0.02/$0.05) - 2017/07/18 4:48:19 ET
Table 'Hyakutake' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: space311 ($7.65 in chips)
Seat 2: BEER&WTF ($5.14 in chips)
Seat 3: wollenswolf ($13.14 in chips)
Seat 4: karver_8 ($5 in chips)
Seat 5: maslyaevk ($2.31 in chips)
Seat 6: Trembon ($1.75 in chips)
Seat 7: JustFoldAlready ($5 in chips)
Seat 8: Clifffffff ($4.13 in chips)
Seat 9: Fostal_by ($5 in chips)
BEER&WTF: posts small blind $0.02
wollenswolf: posts big blind $0.05
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Clifffffff [Th Td]
karver_8: raises $0.10 to $0.15
maslyaevk: folds
Trembon: folds
JustFoldAlready: raises $0.20 to $0.35
Clifffffff: calls $0.35
Fostal_by: folds
space311: folds
BEER&WTF: folds
wollenswolf: folds
karver_8: folds
*** FLOP *** [5d Ah 3d]
JustFoldAlready: bets $0.25
Clifffffff: calls $0.25
*** TURN *** [5d Ah 3d] [7c]
JustFoldAlready: bets $0.55
Clifffffff: calls $0.55
*** RIVER *** [5d Ah 3d 7c] [2c] Pot size 2.42
JustFoldAlready: bets $1.21
Clifffffff: folds
Uncalled bet ($1.21) returned to JustFoldAlready
JustFoldAlready collected $2.42 from pot
JustFoldAlready: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $2.52 | Rake $0.10
Board [5d Ah 3d 7c 2c]

#### Calculate by Cliff
1. Cliff need the win rate on river is 0.33 (1.21/3.63)
2. Calculate all conditions
strip is 46s(1), A4s(4)
set is AA(4), 77(4), 55(4), 33(4),  22(1)
Two pairs is A7s(1), A5s(3), A3s(3), A2s(1), 35s(1), 57s(2)
one pairs is KK(4), QQ(4), JJ(4), AK(4), AQ(2), AJ(1), AT(1), A9s(1), A8s(1),A6s(1)
one pairs win is 99(4),  88(4), 66(1), 44(1), 45s,(1) 34s(1), 67s,(1) 78s(1)
high cards is KQs(1), QJs(1), TJs(1), 9Ts(1), 89s(0)


Loss is 53
Win is 18
so Win rate is = 0.25 (18/71)

Action should fold

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