Lesson 1 EV on River 2017/07/21

PokerStars Zoom Hand #173265509490:  Hold'em No Limit ($0.02/$0.05) - 2017/07/20 0:26:16 ET
Table 'Hyakutake' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: AvGeL ($7.99 in chips)
Seat 2: 0131andrew ($12.70 in chips)
Seat 3: SuborovIL ($5.15 in chips)
Seat 4: Clifffffff ($5.12 in chips)
Seat 5: perugirl ($2.63 in chips)
Seat 6: Gevorg 37 ($5.83 in chips)
Seat 7: snapcheck ($13.40 in chips)
Seat 8: kairatrus ($1.20 in chips)
Seat 9: gallo612 ($5.33 in chips)
0131andrew: posts small blind $0.02
SuborovIL: posts big blind $0.05
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Clifffffff [Js Ad]
Clifffffff: raises $0.10 to $0.15
perugirl: folds
Gevorg 37: folds
snapcheck: folds
kairatrus: folds
gallo612: calls $0.15
AvGeL: folds
0131andrew: calls $0.13
SuborovIL: folds
*** FLOP *** [3h 4h Ac]
0131andrew: checks
Clifffffff: bets $0.29
gallo612: calls $0.29
0131andrew: calls $0.29
*** TURN *** [3h 4h Ac] [Tc]
0131andrew: checks
Clifffffff: bets $0.79
gallo612: calls $0.79
0131andrew: calls $0.79
*** RIVER *** [3h 4h Ac Tc] [7s] pot size 3.9
0131andrew: checks
Clifffffff: checks
gallo612: bets $3.58
0131andrew: folds
Clifffffff: folds
Uncalled bet ($3.58) returned to gallo612
gallo612 collected $3.58 from pot
gallo612: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $3.74 | Rake $0.16
Board [3h 4h Ac Tc 7s]
Seat 1: AvGeL (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: 0131andrew (small blind) folded on the River
Seat 3: SuborovIL (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: Clifffffff folded on the River
Seat 5: perugirl folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Gevorg 37 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: snapcheck folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: kairatrus folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: gallo612 collected ($3.58)

#### Calculate by Cliff
1. Cliff need the win rate on river is 0.478 (3.58/7.48)
2. Calculate all conditions
strip is 56s(0)
set is 33(1), 44(1), 77(0), TT(4), AA(4)
Two pairs is A3s(0.5), A4s(0.5), ATs(4), A7s(0)
one pairs is AKo(3), AKs(3), AQo(2), AQ(2)
one pairs win is KK(4), QQ(4), JJ(2), A5s(1), A2s(1), A9s(1), A8s(0), A6s(0), KTs(1), QTs(0), JTs(1)
high cards is KQs(0), JQs(0),


Loss is 25
Win is 15
so Win rate is = 0.375 (15/40)

Action should fold

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